
Do you live and work in Nigeria? Or you do not live in Nigeria but have family members to whom you regularly send money. Are you planning to live outside Nigeria one day? How about sending your children to University, in the future, overseas?
Here is the key question if you fall into any of the categories above: What is your naira worth 10 years from today?
I pondered over this question for a while. I do not know the answer! However, I have an idea – if we look at the past, we can project the future. While it may not be exact, it gives us a good view of what is to come.
Look at the graph below:
Click the image or here to go to the actual website
That is a whopping 174% devaluation of the naira against the dollar in 10 years! In investment in the naira terms, if you have invested 1Million naira 10 years ago, even if the investment had doubled today, you still lose value.
This alarming graph has more than meets the eyes, here are a few
- This is an exchange rate of USD against naira at the official CBN rate. This is not the parallel market rate.
- In most cases, whenever the exchange rate increases, it never returns lower. That means we can project that in the future, it will always get worse
- Any investment in the dollar is almost guaranteed to come top against the naira in the long run.
The conclusion I can draw therefore is that you should have some of your portfolios in dollar investment.
And that makes the discussion sour! Where do I invest in the dollar such that the return is safe and gives an above-inflation return? The answer is not Nigeria Eurobond! While Eurobond is a step change because it meets the first requirement to invest in the dollar-denominated Asset and it meets the second in that it is relatively safe, I have three concerns with Eurobond:
- If a government is not confident in her currency, should you trust the bond it issues? The Nigerian government, by issuing Eurobond is effectively saying: “We know our Naira is lousy and cannot be trusted, so we will issue you bond in another currency”. What does that tell you of the future of the currency naira – not very good. If naira is not good long-term, that affects the economy of Nigeria and puts pressure on the safety of Nigeria Eurobond.
- Nigeria is over 70% dependent on oil, in the next 10 years, oil is no longer a jewel asset. Where will Nigeria generate foreign currency to pay the Eurobond?
- Eurobond’s return is lousy – it does not come out positive when you factor inflation-adjusted return and naira devaluation in its return.
So, what are we left with? I have good news for you. You can be part of a new Hedge Fund run by a Nigerian company if you are a High NetWorth investor who can invest 50K USD. They are able to return an average of 36% a year and they have been doing that for about 3 years now.
Before I show you the website, please note that this is not for all investors, the government regulation is that only High Networth Investors are allowed. It is not because it is high Risk, it is just the classification Nigeria gives the type of Asset class they manage – it is called Alternative investment.
So if you qualify, you can simply Export Your naira by investing through them. Yes, instead of exporting oil, you can start to export the naira
Let us first answer the question we started with: What is 1 naira today worth 10 years from today. My Analysis says it will be fair to divide it by 3. That is one naira today is worth 33 kobo in 10 years from now.
If we extrapolate, 20 million naira today will be worth 6.67Million naira in 10 years’ time. The company I am about to introduce to you says that if you invest 20 Million naira today, they will convert it to the dollar for you, invest it for you and teach you financial literacy for free, that will be about 40K USD today and in 10 years it will be worth 1 Million dollars. They are so confident of what they do that they are willing to offer a guaranteed return of capital to skeptic investors.
I know what you are thinking: 419 don’ come! There are great Nigerian companies doing great things in the world today. Why are they able to make this kind of return? I challenge you to start digging, they put their address on their website. Watch out for my next article on this but you will only get it if you register at the site.
This article is written to mark the first year’s Anniversary of opening their Fund to the Public. Count yourself as one of the fortunate readers.
Click here to go to their website.
Till next time I am Boyi Adegoju
Guest Writer for 5Mastery.com
===============================
Do you like to receive Articles like this? Are you a High Net Worth Individual? If both answers are yes, please register at the website introduced to you in the article above. Feel free to forward to someone you know that is a High Networth Investor/Individual.







